THE LEDGER · live · refreshes every cycle
Every number the engine has on the board right now.
The engine re-scores live Kalshi and Polymarket markets every cycle. This is its latest read: our probability beside the price the market showed at that instant, with the divergence restated net of round-trip costs. Each row is hash-anchored nightly in the registry before anyone knows the outcome, and graded in the receipts when it resolves.
| market | side | ours | market | net edge | resolves |
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Machine-readable: /api/ledger · methodology: how the calls are made · the proof layer: calibration · research